Rest of Season Projection
EvanCategoryTristan
8HR ←6
37R ←35
30RBI ←27
15SB ←8
.186AVG →.248
Current Season
EvanCategoryTristan
6HR ←2
22R ←18
18RBI ←14
9SB ←4
.171AVG →.295
What Each Player's System Trusts
Evan Carter
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.299 below league with no luck excuse
Tristan Peters
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.363 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaSIGNALluck-free skill 0.291 is 0.053 below the surface — regression coming
Evan Carter: 8 HR / 37 R. Tristan Peters: 6 HR / 35 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).