Rest of Season Projection
RyanCategoryTristan
5HR →6
26R →35
57RBI ←27
6SB →8
.228AVG →.248
Current Season
RyanCategoryTristan
3HR ←2
9R →18
20RBI ←14
2SB →4
.278AVG →.295
What Each Player's System Trusts
Ryan Vilade
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.311)
Tristan Peters
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.363 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaSIGNALluck-free skill 0.291 is 0.053 below the surface — regression coming
Ryan Vilade: 5 HR / 26 R. Tristan Peters: 6 HR / 35 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).