Rest of Season Projection
EliCategoryTristan
8HR ←6
33R →35
36RBI ←27
3SB →8
.251AVG ←.248
Current Season
EliCategoryTristan
2HR2
10R →18
11RBI →14
1SB →4
.217AVG →.295
What Each Player's System Trusts
Eli White
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.283)
Tristan Peters
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.363 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaSIGNALluck-free skill 0.291 is 0.053 below the surface — regression coming
Eli White: 8 HR / 33 R. Tristan Peters: 6 HR / 35 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).