Rest of Season Projection
DylanCategoryRyan
6HR ←4
35R ←22
26RBI →50
6SB ←5
.233AVG.233
Current Season
DylanCategoryRyan
2HR →3
16R ←9
12RBI →20
3SB ←2
.243AVG →.278
What Each Player's System Trusts
Dylan Beavers
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.308)
Ryan Vilade
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.333 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaNOISEluck-free skill 0.307 is 0.044 below the surface — regression coming
Dylan Beavers: 6 HR / 35 R. Ryan Vilade: 4 HR / 22 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).