MLB Daily DeltaWeek 16 · July 15, 2026
Dylan Beavers
BAL · RF
Change to
Nathan Church
STL · LF
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Nathan Church.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — RBI and average.

Head-to-head
HR
R
RBI
SB
AVG

Nathan Church wins 2 categories (RBI, AVG); Dylan Beavers wins 1 (R); 2 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Avg Exit Velolg 89.0 · higher = better
Dylan Beavers
87.4
Nathan Church
85.9
Hard-Hit %lg 40.0% · higher = better
Dylan Beavers
36.5%
Nathan Church
31.4%
Barrel %lg 8.0% · higher = better
Dylan Beavers
5.2%
Nathan Church
8.1%
Chase %lg 28.5% · lower = better
Dylan Beavers
24.4%
Nathan Church
44.7%
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · lower = better
Dylan Beavers
10.7%
Nathan Church
13.2%
xwOBAlg .315 · higher = better
Dylan Beavers
.296
Nathan Church
.281
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · batting average
AVGhigher is better
Dylan Beavers
.200.280
lg AVG .295
now .243
.219
Nathan Church
.200.280
lg AVG .295
now .260
.222

Volume · counting stats
Home Runshigher is better
Dylan Beavers
56.20
now 2
4
Nathan Church
56.20
now 5
4
Runshigher is better
Dylan Beavers
2026.20
now 16
23
Nathan Church
2026.20
now 18
20
RBIhigher is better
Dylan Beavers
2023.20
now 12
17
Nathan Church
2023.20
now 18
20
Stolen Baseshigher is better
Dylan Beavers
1.805.20
now 3
4
Nathan Church
1.805.20
now 4
4
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeDylan Beavers — hold.conf 0.50
SellNathan Church — sell.conf 0.62
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