MLB Daily DeltaWeek 15 · July 4, 2026
Brenton Doyle
COL · CF
Change to
Nathan Church
STL · LF
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Nathan Church.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — home runs, RBI, and average.

Head-to-head
HR
R
RBI
SB
AVG

Nathan Church wins 3 categories (HR, RBI, AVG); Brenton Doyle wins 2 (R, SB).

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Avg Exit Velolg 89.0 · higher = better
Brenton Doyle
87.8
Nathan Church
86.3
Hard-Hit %lg 40.0% · higher = better
Brenton Doyle
35.2%
Nathan Church
32.3%
Barrel %lg 8.0% · higher = better
Brenton Doyle
5.6%
Nathan Church
8.7%
Chase %lg 28.5% · lower = better
Brenton Doyle
35.4%
Nathan Church
44.7%
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · lower = better
Brenton Doyle
17.2%
Nathan Church
13.3%
xwOBAlg .315 · higher = better
Brenton Doyle
.248
Nathan Church
.292
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · batting average
AVGhigher is better
Brenton Doyle
.200.290
lg AVG .295
now .207
.196
Nathan Church
.200.290
lg AVG .295
now .260
.235

Volume · counting stats
Home Runshigher is better
Brenton Doyle
56.60
now 1
4
Nathan Church
56.60
now 5
5
Runshigher is better
Brenton Doyle
2037.60
now 21
32
Nathan Church
2037.60
now 18
23
RBIhigher is better
Brenton Doyle
2030.60
now 4
6
Nathan Church
2030.60
now 18
23
Stolen Baseshigher is better
Brenton Doyle
.00018
now 9
14
Nathan Church
.00018
now 4
5
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeBrenton Doyle — hold.conf 0.50
SellNathan Church — sell.conf 0.60
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