MLB Daily DeltaWeek 15 · July 4, 2026
Portrait of A.J. Ewing
A.J. Ewing
NYM · CF
Change to
Nathan Church
STL · LF
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Nathan Church.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — home runs, runs, and RBI.

Head-to-head
HR
R
RBI
SB
AVG

Nathan Church wins 3 categories (HR, R, RBI); A.J. Ewing wins 2 (SB, AVG).

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Avg Exit Velolg 89.0 · higher = better
A.J. Ewing
89.0
Nathan Church
86.3
Hard-Hit %lg 40.0% · higher = better
A.J. Ewing
42.6%
Nathan Church
32.3%
Barrel %lg 8.0% · higher = better
A.J. Ewing
6.1%
Nathan Church
8.7%
Chase %lg 28.5% · lower = better
A.J. Ewing
26.6%
Nathan Church
44.7%
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · lower = better
A.J. Ewing
9.8%
Nathan Church
13.3%
xwOBAlg .315 · higher = better
A.J. Ewing
.349
Nathan Church
.292
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · batting average
AVGhigher is better
A.J. Ewing
.210.270
lg AVG .295
now .224
.244
Nathan Church
.210.270
lg AVG .295
now .260
.235

Volume · counting stats
Home Runshigher is better
A.J. Ewing
56.60
now 1
4
Nathan Church
56.60
now 5
5
Runshigher is better
A.J. Ewing
2029
now 8
20
Nathan Church
2029
now 18
23
RBIhigher is better
A.J. Ewing
2029.80
now 6
15
Nathan Church
2029.80
now 18
23
Stolen Baseshigher is better
A.J. Ewing
1.6012.40
now 4
10
Nathan Church
1.6012.40
now 4
5
If you already own them — trade angle
BuyA.J. Ewing — buy.conf 0.67
SellNathan Church — sell.conf 0.60
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