Rest of Season Projection
AustinCategoryTristan
3HR →6
35R ←32
27RBI ←25
13SB ←7
.237AVG →.259
Current Season
AustinCategoryTristan
2HR2
22R ←18
17RBI ←14
8SB ←4
.262AVG →.295
What Each Player's System Trusts
Austin Martin
- xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.307)
Tristan Peters
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.375 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaSIGNALluck-free skill 0.299 is 0.061 below the surface — regression coming
Austin Martin: 3 HR / 35 R. Tristan Peters: 6 HR / 32 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).