Rest of Season Projection
JamesCategoryTristan
22HR ←6
78R ←35
57RBI ←27
15SB ←8
.255AVG ←.248
Current Season
JamesCategoryTristan
16HR ←2
53R ←18
39RBI ←14
10SB ←4
.272AVG →.295
What Each Player's System Trusts
James Wood
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.432, +0.117 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 29% is stable and high — caps the floor
Tristan Peters
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.363 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaSIGNALluck-free skill 0.291 is 0.053 below the surface — regression coming
James Wood: 22 HR / 78 R. Tristan Peters: 6 HR / 35 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).