154 PA · week 18
this weekHOLD
last weekHOLD
Braden Montgomery
data as of July 28, 2026·week 18
Hold · wait & see skill near league average (0.304); hold and wait — key skill metric not yet stable enough to call.med 0.50 (narrative held for review)
ROSHR 1AVG .194R 29RBI 43SB 0
Montgomery is a hold — league average, limited data.
ROS projects HR 1 YTD → 1 ROS, AVG .444 YTD → .194 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.
Drivers
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.304)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo89.0 mph
lg avg 89.0 mph 0.0 mphvs his norm —
109 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %39.4%
lg avg 40.0% ▼−0.6%vs his norm —
109 / 50 BBE
Barrel %3.7%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−4.3%vs his norm —
109 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.304
lg avg .315 ▼−.011vs his norm —xwOBA is below the ~.315 league average — expect it to rise.
154 / 160 PA
wOBA.316
lg avg .315 ▲+.001vs his norm —wOBA is above the ~.315 league average — expect it to fall.
154 / 200 PA
Strikeout %19.5%
lg avg 22.0% ▼−2.5%vs his norm —
154 / 60 PA
Walk %8.4%
lg avg 8.5% ▼−0.1%vs his norm —
154 / 120 PA
BABIP.292
lg avg .295 ▼−.003vs his norm —BABIP is below the ~.295 league average — expect it to rise.
109 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %14.3%
lg avg 11.0% ▲+3.3%vs his norm —
154 / 50 PA
Chase %30.4%
lg avg 28.5% ▲+1.9%vs his norm —
154 / 50 PA
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 3.7%→4.6%signal1 HR — Barrel% 3.7% (signal) lifted to league ~8.0% → projected 4.6%.
BABIP 0.292→0.238 regressednoise.194 AVG — BABIP 0.292 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.230 (xBA 0.246) → 0.238.
on-base + lineup29 R — his run rate over ~130 projected PA.
slugging + lineup43 RBI — his RBI rate over ~130 projected PA.
run rate / role0 SB — his steal rate (0 in 2 G) over ~130 projected PA.
rosterdroprotational counting only
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.