172 PA · week 17
this weekBUY-LOW
last weekHOLD
Edgar Quero
data as of July 22, 2026·week 17
flipped from HOLD on July 22, 2026
Buy Low contact quality already past its threshold and intact, the bat is fine — BABIP 0.232 suppressed and unstable, dragging results below the bat; buy the player, not the number.med 0.67 (narrative held for review)
ROSHR 1AVG .188R 13RBI 17SB 1
Quero is a buy-low — his BABIP slump masks a stable bat.
Cold results, but stable contact quality and a depressed BABIP say the slump is noise. Buy low.
VS His Norm
- Barrel %2.6%—−1.1% ▼vs his ~3.7% career norm
Drivers
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.232 suppressed and unstable — dragging results below the bat
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALcontact quality already past its threshold and intact — the bat is fine
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo90.9 mph
lg avg 89.0 mph ▲+1.9 mphvs his norm —
116 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %34.5%
lg avg 40.0% ▼−5.5%vs his norm —
116 / 50 BBE
Barrel %2.6%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−5.4%vs his norm −1.1% ▼
116 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.260
lg avg .315 ▼−.055vs his norm —
172 / 160 PA
wOBA.224
lg avg .315 ▼−.091vs his norm —wOBA is below the ~.315 league average — expect it to rise.
172 / 200 PA
Strikeout %23.8%
lg avg 22.0% ▲+1.8%vs his norm —
172 / 60 PA
Walk %7.0%
lg avg 8.5% ▼−1.5%vs his norm —
172 / 120 PA
BABIP.232
lg avg .295 ▼−.063vs his norm −.088 ▼BABIP is below his ~.320 norm — expect it to rise.
116 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %11.8%
lg avg 11.0% ▲+0.8%vs his norm —
172 / 50 PA
Chase %27.1%
lg avg 28.5% ▼−1.4%vs his norm —
172 / 50 PA
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 2.6%→3.3%signal1 HR — Barrel% 2.6% (signal) lifted to career ~3.7% → projected 3.3%.
BABIP 0.232→0.255 regressednoise.188 AVG — BABIP 0.232 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.259 (xBA 0.208) → 0.255.
on-base + lineup13 R — his run rate over ~153 projected PA.
slugging + lineup17 RBI — his RBI rate over ~153 projected PA.
run rate / role1 SB — his steal rate (1 in 43 G) over ~153 projected PA.
rosterdroprotational counting only
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.