Noah Schultz
Schultz is a sell — the skill is below league and the data says so.
His expected ERA is 5.36 — 1.26 runs above the league average of 4.1 — and at 311 batters faced the number is past the point where it becomes reliable. His expected wOBA allowed is .351 against a league average of .315, so the contact he is giving up confirms the same thing the run-prevention number does. There is no luck story to lean on. His strikeout rate is 20.6%, slightly below league, and his walk rate is 10%, above it, so he is not missing bats enough to cover the hard contact. The xERA trajectory is stepping up across the sample, not settling. That is the direction, not a blip. Sell. 0 K and a 4.92 ERA ROS is a drop, streaming-only arm — fade the production before the whip follows.
VS His Norm
- Walk %10.0%—−3.1% ▼vs his ~13.1% career norm
- Strikeout %20.6%—+1.0% ▲vs his ~19.6% career norm
Drivers
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 5.36 +1.26 vs league with no luck excuse
5×5 ROS Outlook
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