week 20
this weekHOLD
last week—
David Sandlin
data as of August 8, 2026·week 20
Hold · wait & see skill near league average (3.88); hold and wait — key skill metric not yet stable enough to call.med 0.50 (narrative held for review)
ROSK 24ERA 4.10WHIP 1.30W 2–4SV 0
Sandlin is a hold — league average, nothing to chase.
ROS projects K 8 YTD → 24 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.
Drivers
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (3.88)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Hard-Hit % Allowed36.0%
lg avg 40.0% ▼−4.0%vs his norm —
50 / 50 BBE
Barrel % Allowed12.0%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+4.0%vs his norm —Barrel % Allowed is above the ~8.0% league average — expect it to fall.
50 / 60 BBE
xwOBA Allowed.305
lg avg .315 ▼−.010vs his norm —xwOBA Allowed is below the ~.315 league average — expect it to rise.
80 / 200 TBF
xERA3.88
lg avg 4.10 ▼−0.22vs his norm —xERA is below the ~4.10 league average — expect it to rise.
80 / 200 TBF
ERA6.05
lg avg 4.10 ▲+1.95vs his norm —ERA is above the ~4.10 league average — expect it to fall.
19.3 / 200 IP
Strikeout %25.0%
lg avg 22.0% ▲+3.0%vs his norm —
80 / 70 TBF
Walk %12.5%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+4.5%vs his norm —Walk % is above the ~8.0% league average — expect it to fall.
80 / 170 TBF
BABIP Against.239
lg avg .295 ▼−.056vs his norm —BABIP Against is below the ~.295 league average — expect it to rise.
50 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %10.8%
lg avg 11.0% ▼−0.2%vs his norm —
80 / 60 TBF
Chase %30.6%
lg avg 28.5% ▲+2.1%vs his norm —
80 / 60 TBF
Fastball Velo96.8 mph
lg avg 94.0 mph ▲+2.8 mphvs his norm —
313 / 50 PITCHES
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
K% 25.0%→24.4%signal24 K — K% 25.0% (signal) tempered to SP mean ~22.0% → projected 24.4% over ~31 remainin…
xERA 3.88noise4.10 ERA — xERA 3.88 (noise) blended 0% skill / 100% league 4.10 at 10 IP.
BB% 12.5% + contactnoise1.30 WHIP — a 12% walk rate plus BABIP-against 0.291 gives a 1.47 skill WHIP, blended 0…
run support + role2-4 W — wins ride run support and how deep he goes, not just skill.
role (starter)0 SV — role: starter, not in the save mix.
rosterdrop24 K ROS, 4.10 ERA
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.