week 27
this weekHOLD
last weekHOLD
David Sandlin
data as of September 27, 2026·week 27
Hold · wait & see skill near league average (3.97); hold and wait — key skill metric not yet stable enough to call.med 0.50 (narrative held for review)
ROSK 0ERA 4.10WHIP 1.30W 0–0SV 0
Sandlin is a hold — league average, sample still filling in.
ROS projects K 8 YTD → 0 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.
Drivers
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (3.97)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Hard-Hit % Allowed34.5%
lg avg 40.0% ▼−5.5%vs his norm —
113 / 50 BBE
Barrel % Allowed8.8%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+0.8%vs his norm —
113 / 60 BBE
xwOBA Allowed.307
lg avg .315 ▼−.008vs his norm —xwOBA Allowed is below the ~.315 league average — expect it to rise.
167 / 200 TBF
xERA3.97
lg avg 4.10 ▼−0.13vs his norm —xERA is below the ~4.10 league average — expect it to rise.
167 / 200 TBF
ERA5.58
lg avg 4.10 ▲+1.48vs his norm —ERA is above the ~4.10 league average — expect it to fall.
40.3 / 200 IP
Strikeout %24.0%
lg avg 22.0% ▲+2.0%vs his norm —
167 / 70 TBF
Walk %7.8%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−0.2%vs his norm —Walk % is below the ~8.0% league average — expect it to rise.
167 / 170 TBF
BABIP Against.274
lg avg .295 ▼−.021vs his norm —BABIP Against is below the ~.295 league average — expect it to rise.
113 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %11.2%
lg avg 11.0% ▲+0.1%vs his norm —
167 / 60 TBF
Chase %29.9%
lg avg 28.5% ▲+1.4%vs his norm —
167 / 60 TBF
Fastball Velo96.5 mph
lg avg 94.0 mph ▲+2.5 mphvs his norm —
638 / 50 PITCHES
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
K% 24.0%→23.6%signal0 K — K% 24.0% (signal) tempered to SP mean ~22.0% → projected 23.6% over ~0 remaining IP.
xERA 3.97noise4.10 ERA — xERA 3.97 (noise) blended 0% skill / 100% league 4.10 at 10 IP.
BB% 7.8% + contactnoise1.30 WHIP — a 8% walk rate plus BABIP-against 0.292 gives a 1.28 skill WHIP, blended 0%…
run support + role0-0 W — wins ride run support and how deep he goes, not just skill.
role (starter)0 SV — role: starter, not in the save mix.
rosterdrop0 K ROS, 4.10 ERA
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.