MLB Daily DeltaWeek 18 · July 28, 2026
109 PA · week 18
this weekHOLD
last weekHOLD

Joey Bart

data as of July 28, 2026·week 18
Hold · wait & see skill near league average (0.296); hold and wait — key skill metric not yet stable enough to call.med 0.50 (narrative held for review)
ROSHR 3AVG .197R 17RBI 11SB 0

Bart is a hold — league-average skill, nothing to buy or sell.

ROS projects HR 2 YTD → 3 ROS, AVG .259 YTD → .197 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.

VS His Norm

  • Barrel %8.7%−0.7%vs his ~9.4% career norm

Drivers

  • xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.296)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo86.2 mph
86.2 mph*
lg avg 89.0 mph −2.8 mphvs his norm —
69 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %34.8%
34.8%*
lg avg 40.0% −5.2%vs his norm —
69 / 50 BBE
Barrel %8.7%
norm8.7%*
lg avg 8.0% +0.7%vs his norm −0.7%
69 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.296
.296*
lg avg .315 −.019vs his norm —xwOBA is below the ~.315 league averageexpect it to rise.
109 / 160 PA
wOBA.301
.301*
lg avg .315 −.014vs his norm —wOBA is below the ~.315 league averageexpect it to rise.
109 / 200 PA
Strikeout %27.5%
27.5%*
lg avg 22.0% +5.5%vs his norm —
109 / 60 PA
Walk %4.6%
4.6%*
lg avg 8.5% −3.9%vs his norm —Walk % is below the ~8.5% league averageexpect it to rise.
109 / 120 PA
BABIP.277
norm.277*
lg avg .295 −.018vs his norm −.053 BABIP is below his ~.330 normexpect it to rise.
69 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %13.0%
13.0%*
lg avg 11.0% +2.0%vs his norm —
109 / 50 PA
Chase %31.3%
31.3%*
lg avg 28.5% +2.8%vs his norm —
109 / 50 PA

5×5 ROS Outlook

rest of season

Where each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.

statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 8.7%→9.2%signal3 HR — Barrel% 8.7% (signal) lifted to career ~9.4% → projected 9.2%.
BABIP 0.277→0.281 regressednoise.197 AVG — BABIP 0.277 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.282 (xBA 0.211) → 0.281.
on-base + lineup17 R — his run rate over ~119 projected PA.
slugging + lineup11 RBI — his RBI rate over ~119 projected PA.
run rate / role0 SB — his steal rate (0 in 21 G) over ~119 projected PA.
rosterdroprotational counting only

Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.

Tweet
Compare with

Comparisons

head-to-head matchups