Rest of Season Projection
JoeyCategoryPatrick
6HR6
32R ←13
21RBI ←19
0SB →4
.199AVG →.211
Current Season
JoeyCategoryPatrick
2HR2
9R ←6
6RBI →9
0SB →2
.259AVG ←.147
What Each Player's System Trusts
Joey Bart
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.361 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaNOISEluck-free skill 0.256 is 0.039 below the surface — regression coming
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 34% is stable and high — caps the floor
Patrick Bailey
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.191 suppressed and unstable — dragging results below the bat
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALcontact quality already past its threshold and intact — the bat is fine
Joey Bart: 6 HR / 32 R. Patrick Bailey: 7 HR / 13 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).