Rest of Season Projection
DrewCategoryJoey
7HR ←6
26R →32
33RBI ←21
3SB ←0
.189AVG →.199
Current Season
DrewCategoryJoey
5HR ←2
8R →9
10RBI ←6
1SB ←0
.177AVG →.259
What Each Player's System Trusts
Drew Romo
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.284)
Joey Bart
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.361 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaNOISEluck-free skill 0.256 is 0.039 below the surface — regression coming
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 34% is stable and high — caps the floor
Drew Romo: 7 HR / 26 R. Joey Bart: 6 HR / 32 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).