Rest of Season Projection
DrakeCategoryJoey
14HR ←6
57R ←32
56RBI ←21
1SB ←0
.283AVG ←.199
Current Season
DrakeCategoryJoey
13HR ←2
39R ←9
38RBI ←6
1SB ←0
.303AVG ←.259
What Each Player's System Trusts
Drake Baldwin
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.418, +0.103 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.333 sits above league and is not yet stable — expect some of the average to regress
Joey Bart
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.361 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaNOISEluck-free skill 0.256 is 0.039 below the surface — regression coming
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 34% is stable and high — caps the floor
Drake Baldwin: 14 HR / 58 R. Joey Bart: 6 HR / 32 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).