week 17
this weekHOLD
last weekSELL-HIGH
Huascar Brazobán
data as of July 18, 2026·week 17
flipped from SELL-HIGH on July 18, 2026
Hold · wait & see skill near league average (2.91); hold and wait — key skill metric not yet stable enough to call.med 0.50 (narrative held for review)
ROSK 19WHIP 1.25ERA 3.64W 1–4SV 0
Brazobán is a hold — league-average skill, nothing to act on.
ROS projects K 24 YTD → 19 ROS, WHIP 0.97 YTD → 1.25 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.
VS His Norm
- Walk %11.2%—−0.5% ▼vs his ~11.7% career norm
- Strikeout %23.5%—−0.4% ▼vs his ~23.9% career norm
Drivers
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (2.91)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Hard-Hit % Allowed24.8%
lg avg 40.0% ▼−15.2%vs his norm —
121 / 50 BBE
Barrel % Allowed2.5%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−5.5%vs his norm —
121 / 60 BBE
xwOBA Allowed.267
lg avg .315 ▼−.048vs his norm —xwOBA Allowed is below the ~.315 league average — expect it to rise.
187 / 200 TBF
xERA2.91
lg avg 4.10 ▼−1.19vs his norm —xERA is below the ~4.10 league average — expect it to rise.
187 / 200 TBF
ERA2.70
lg avg 4.10 ▼−1.40vs his norm —ERA is below the ~4.10 league average — expect it to rise.
46.7 / 200 IP
Strikeout %23.5%
lg avg 22.0% ▲+1.5%vs his norm −0.4% ▼
187 / 70 TBF
Walk %11.2%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+3.2%vs his norm −0.5% ▼
187 / 170 TBF
BABIP Against.222
lg avg .295 ▼−.073vs his norm —BABIP Against is below the ~.295 league average — expect it to rise.
121 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %12.5%
lg avg 11.0% ▲+1.5%vs his norm —
187 / 60 TBF
Chase %31.3%
lg avg 28.5% ▲+2.8%vs his norm —
187 / 60 TBF
Fastball Velo96.8 mph
lg avg 94.0 mph ▲+2.8 mphvs his norm —
722 / 50 PITCHES
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
K% 23.5%→23.7%signal19 K — K% 23.5% (signal) held to career ~23.9% → projected 23.7% over ~23 remaining IP.
xERA 2.91noise3.64 ERA — xERA 2.91 (noise) blended 8% skill / 92% league 3.70 at 29 IP.
BB% 11.2% + contactsignal1.25 WHIP — a 11% walk rate plus BABIP-against 0.284 gives a 1.41 skill WHIP, blended 8…
run support + role1-4 W — wins ride run support and how deep he goes, not just skill.
role (setup)0 SV — role: setup, not in the save mix.
rosterdeep3.64 ERA, 1.25 WHIP
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.