week 17
this weekHOLD
last weekHOLD
Grant Taylor
data as of July 18, 2026·week 17
Hold · wait & see skill near league average (2.41); hold and wait — key skill metric not yet stable enough to call.med 0.50 (narrative held for review)
ROSK 36WHIP 1.23ERA 3.59W 0–1SV 0–1
Taylor is a hold — limited data, no edge yet.
ROS projects K 44 YTD → 36 ROS, WHIP 1.11 YTD → 1.23 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.
VS His Norm
- Strikeout %33.8%—−1.3% ▼vs his ~35.1% career norm
- Walk %8.6%—0.0%vs his ~8.6% career norm
Drivers
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (2.41)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Hard-Hit % Allowed42.1%
lg avg 40.0% ▲+2.1%vs his norm —
114 / 50 BBE
Barrel % Allowed7.0%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−1.0%vs his norm —
114 / 60 BBE
xwOBA Allowed.243
lg avg .315 ▼−.072vs his norm —xwOBA Allowed is below the ~.315 league average — expect it to rise.
198 / 200 TBF
xERA2.41
lg avg 4.10 ▼−1.69vs his norm —xERA is below the ~4.10 league average — expect it to rise.
198 / 200 TBF
ERA2.79
lg avg 4.10 ▼−1.31vs his norm —ERA is below the ~4.10 league average — expect it to rise.
48.3 / 200 IP
Strikeout %33.8%
lg avg 22.0% ▲+11.8%vs his norm −1.3% ▼
198 / 70 TBF
Walk %8.6%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+0.6%vs his norm 0.0%
198 / 170 TBF
BABIP Against.291
lg avg .295 ▼−.004vs his norm —BABIP Against is below the ~.295 league average — expect it to rise.
114 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %14.7%
lg avg 11.0% ▲+3.7%vs his norm —
198 / 60 TBF
Chase %34.8%
lg avg 28.5% ▲+6.3%vs his norm —
198 / 60 TBF
Fastball Velo98.2 mph
lg avg 94.0 mph ▲+4.2 mphvs his norm —
803 / 50 PITCHES
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
K% 33.8%→34.5%signal36 K — K% 33.8% (signal) lifted to career ~35.1% → projected 34.5% over ~24 remaining IP.
xERA 2.41noise3.59 ERA — xERA 2.41 (noise) blended 9% skill / 91% league 3.70 at 30 IP.
BB% 8.6% + contactsignal1.23 WHIP — a 9% walk rate plus BABIP-against 0.294 gives a 1.16 skill WHIP, blended 9%…
run support + role0-1 W — wins ride run support and how deep he goes, not just skill.
role (setup)0-1 SV — role: setup, in the save mix only situationally.
rosterdeep3.59 ERA, 1.23 WHIP
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.