Rest of Season Projection
BrandonCategorySam
10HR ←9
49R ←48
40RBI ←25
7SB →15
.302AVG →.313
Current Season
BrandonCategorySam
5HR ←1
29R ←25
24RBI ←13
4SB →8
.317AVG ←.280
What Each Player's System Trusts
Brandon Marsh
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.407 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaSIGNALluck-free skill 0.335 is 0.032 below the surface — regression coming
Sam Antonacci
- xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.370)
Brandon Marsh: 10 HR / 49 R. Sam Antonacci: 9 HR / 48 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).