Rest of Season Projection
CorbinCategoryRonald
14HR →16
57R ←46
43RBI ←36
11SB →20
.266AVG ←.259
Current Season
CorbinCategoryRonald
7HR7
37R ←27
28RBI ←21
7SB →12
.286AVG ←.253
What Each Player's System Trusts
Corbin Carroll
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.351 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaSIGNALluck-free skill 0.364 is 0.034 below the surface — regression coming
Ronald Acuña Jr.
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.397, +0.082 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
Corbin Carroll: 14 HR / 57 R. Ronald Acuña Jr.: 16 HR / 46 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).