469 PA · week 31
this weekBUY
last weekBUY
Ronald Acuña Jr.
data as of October 26, 2026·week 31
Buy stable xwOBA 0.366, +0.051 vs league, production is earned; elite, already-stable contact quality; add now.med 0.70 (narrative held for review)
ROSAVG .000HR 0R 0RBI 0SB 0
Acuña is a buy — the contact is stepping up and the numbers are earned
Stable, above-average skill with no luck propping it up. Buy.
VS His Norm
- Barrel %13.0%—−1.5% ▼vs his ~14.5% career norm
Drivers
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.366, +0.051 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo89.6 mph
lg avg 89.0 mph ▲+0.6 mphvs his norm —
308 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %43.5%
lg avg 40.0% ▲+3.5%vs his norm —
308 / 50 BBE
Barrel %13.0%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+5.0%vs his norm −1.5% ▼
308 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.366
lg avg .315 ▲+.051vs his norm —
469 / 160 PA
wOBA.348
lg avg .315 ▲+.033vs his norm —
469 / 200 PA
Strikeout %22.0%
lg avg 22.0% 0.0%vs his norm —
469 / 60 PA
Walk %11.3%
lg avg 8.5% ▲+2.8%vs his norm —
469 / 120 PA
BABIP.292
lg avg .295 ▼−.003vs his norm −.049 ▼BABIP is below his ~.341 norm — expect it to rise.
308 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %14.3%
lg avg 11.0% ▲+3.3%vs his norm —
469 / 50 PA
Chase %28.6%
lg avg 28.5% ▲+0.1%vs his norm —
469 / 50 PA
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 13.0%→13.6%signal0 HR — Barrel% 13.0% (signal) lifted to career ~14.5% → projected 13.6%.
BABIP 0.292→0.293 regressednoise.000 AVG — BABIP 0.292 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.294 (xBA 0.261) → 0.293.
on-base + lineup0 R — his run rate over ~0 projected PA.
slugging + lineup0 RBI — his RBI rate over ~0 projected PA.
run rate / role0 SB — his steal rate (12 in 46 G) over ~0 projected PA.
rosterdroprotational counting only
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.