90 PA · week 27
this weekHOLD
last weekHOLD
Enrique Hernández
data as of September 27, 2026·week 27
Hold · wait & see strikeout rate 30% is stable and high, caps the floor — skill near league average (0.271); hold and wait — key skill metric not yet stable enough to call.med 0.50 (narrative held for review)
ROSAVG .000HR 0R 0RBI 0SB 0
Hernández is a hold — league-average bat, high strikeout drag
ROS projects AVG .385 YTD → .000 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.
Drivers
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.271)
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 30% is stable and high — caps the floor
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo88.4 mph
lg avg 89.0 mph ▼−0.6 mphvs his norm —
57 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %40.4%
lg avg 40.0% ▲+0.4%vs his norm —
57 / 50 BBE
Barrel %7.0%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−1.0%vs his norm +1.4% ▲Barrel % is above his ~5.6% norm — expect it to fall.
57 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.271
lg avg .315 ▼−.044vs his norm —xwOBA is below the ~.315 league average — expect it to rise.
90 / 160 PA
wOBA.290
lg avg .315 ▼−.025vs his norm —wOBA is below the ~.315 league average — expect it to rise.
90 / 200 PA
Strikeout %30.0%
lg avg 22.0% ▲+8.0%vs his norm —
90 / 60 PA
Walk %6.7%
lg avg 8.5% ▼−1.8%vs his norm —Walk % is below the ~8.5% league average — expect it to rise.
90 / 120 PA
BABIP.296
lg avg .295 ▲+.001vs his norm +.032 ▲BABIP is above his ~.264 norm — expect it to fall.
57 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %13.5%
lg avg 11.0% ▲+2.5%vs his norm —
90 / 50 PA
Chase %33.3%
lg avg 28.5% ▲+4.8%vs his norm —
90 / 50 PA
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 7.0%→5.9%noise0 HR — Barrel% 7.0% (noise) tempered to career ~5.6% → projected 5.9%.
BABIP 0.296→0.235 regressednoise.000 AVG — BABIP 0.296 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.230 (xBA 0.218) → 0.235.
on-base + lineup0 R — his run rate over ~0 projected PA.
slugging + lineup0 RBI — his RBI rate over ~0 projected PA.
run rate / role0 SB — his steal rate (0 in 6 G) over ~0 projected PA.
rosterdroprotational counting only
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.