Is Will Smith a buy or sell for fantasy baseball?

Buy — stable, above-average metrics signal genuine skill. Good ROS add target.

What is Will Smith's rest-of-season outlook?

xwOBA .389 with 12.4% barrels — catcher's bat is real

276 PA · week 31

this weekBUY

last weekBUY-LOW

Will Smith

LAD·C

data as of October 26, 2026·week 31

flipped from BUY-LOW on October 26, 2026

Buy stable xwOBA 0.389, +0.074 vs league, production is earned; elite, already-stable contact quality; add now.high 0.75

ROSAVG .000HR 0R 0RBI 0SB 0

Smith is a buy — the contact is climbing and it's earned

His hard-hit rate is up over the course of the sample and now sits at 41.2%, with 194 batted balls behind it — well past the point where contact quality becomes reliable. The barrel rate is the louder number: 12.4% against a league average of 8.0%. His expected wOBA is .389, .074 above the league average of .315, on 276 plate appearances, and it has been climbing too. The actual line reads .345, so the results have not caught up to the quality of contact. That gap is the buy. He does not chase — 20.9% against a league average of 28.5% — and he strikes out just 16.3% of the time, so there is no batting-average floor to worry about. The skill is real and it is still improving. Buy.

VS His Norm

Barrel %12.4%—+2.7% ▲vs his ~9.7% career norm

Drivers

xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.389, +0.074 vs league — production is earned
hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality

metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?

Avg Exit Velo89.1 mph

lg avg 89.0 mph ▲+0.1 mphvs his norm —

194 / 50 BBE

Hard-Hit %41.2%

lg avg 40.0% ▲+1.2%vs his norm —

194 / 50 BBE

Barrel %12.4%

lg avg 8.0% ▲+4.4%vs his norm +2.7% ▲

194 / 60 BBE

xwOBA.389

lg avg .315 ▲+.074vs his norm —

276 / 160 PA

wOBA.345

lg avg .315 ▲+.030vs his norm —

276 / 200 PA

Strikeout %16.3%

lg avg 22.0% ▼−5.7%vs his norm —

276 / 60 PA

Walk %12.3%

lg avg 8.5% ▲+3.8%vs his norm —

276 / 120 PA

BABIP.277

lg avg .295 ▼−.018vs his norm −.017 ▼BABIP is below his ~.293 norm — expect it to rise.

194 / 800 BIP

Swinging-Strike %7.0%

lg avg 11.0% ▼−4.0%vs his norm —

276 / 50 PA

Chase %20.9%

lg avg 28.5% ▼−7.6%vs his norm —

276 / 50 PA

5×5 ROS Outlook

rest of season

Where each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.

statytdrosdriverconf

Barrel% 12.4%→11.0%signal0 HR — Barrel% 12.4% (signal) tempered to career ~9.7% → projected 11.0%.

BABIP 0.277→0.298 regressednoise.000 AVG — BABIP 0.277 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.305 (xBA 0.279) → 0.298.

on-base + lineup0 R — his run rate over ~0 projected PA.

slugging + lineup0 RBI — his RBI rate over ~0 projected PA.

run rate / role0 SB — his steal rate (0 in 49 G) over ~0 projected PA.

rosterdroprotational counting only

Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.

VS His Norm

Drivers

5×5 ROS Outlook

Comparisons