MLB Daily DeltaWeek 17 · July 19, 2026
Portrait of Gabriel Moreno
Gabriel Moreno
AZ · C
Change to
Portrait of Will Smith
Will Smith
LAD · C
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Gabriel Moreno.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — runs, RBI, steals, and average. Will Smith’s box score looks better right now, but it’s built on luck that won’t hold.

Head-to-head
HR
R
RBI
SB
AVG

Gabriel Moreno wins 4 categories (R, RBI, SB, AVG); Will Smith wins 1 (HR).

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Avg Exit Velolg 89.0 · higher = better
Gabriel Moreno
89.4
Will Smith
90.0
Hard-Hit %lg 40.0% · higher = better
Gabriel Moreno
42.5%
Will Smith
39.4%
Barrel %lg 8.0% · higher = better
Gabriel Moreno
7.5%
Will Smith
13.4%
Chase %lg 28.5% · lower = better
Gabriel Moreno
30.4%
Will Smith
21.3%
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · lower = better
Gabriel Moreno
6.9%
Will Smith
6.8%
xwOBAlg .315 · higher = better
Gabriel Moreno
.370
Will Smith
.385
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · batting average
AVGhigher is better
Gabriel Moreno
.240.290
lg AVG .295
now .258
.278
Will Smith
.240.290
lg AVG .295
now .250
.260

Volume · counting stats
Home Runshigher is better
Gabriel Moreno
57.20
now 3
3
Will Smith
57.20
now 6
5
Runshigher is better
Gabriel Moreno
2025.20
now 18
22
Will Smith
2025.20
now 22
21
RBIhigher is better
Gabriel Moreno
2026.20
now 19
23
Will Smith
2026.20
now 23
22
Stolen Baseshigher is better
Gabriel Moreno
.0005.60
now 3
4
Will Smith
.0005.60
now 0
0
If you already own them — trade angle
BuyGabriel Moreno — buy.conf 0.71
Buy LowWill Smith — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.73
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