Who's more valuable, rest of season
Will Smith.
He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — home runs, runs, and average. Adley Rutschman’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.
Head-to-head
HR
▶
R
▶
◀
RBI
SB
AVG
▶
Will Smith wins 3 categories (HR, R, AVG); Adley Rutschman wins 1 (RBI); 1 even.
04
Under the hood
Underlying skill — each value vs league avgAvg Exit Velolg 89.0 · higher = better
Adley Rutschman
89.3
Will Smith
90.0
Hard-Hit %lg 40.0% · higher = better
Adley Rutschman
41.6%
Will Smith
39.4%
Barrel %lg 8.0% · higher = better
Adley Rutschman
7.2%
Will Smith
13.4%
Chase %lg 28.5% · lower = better
Adley Rutschman
25.2%
Will Smith
21.3%
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · lower = better
Adley Rutschman
6.5%
Will Smith
6.8%
xwOBAlg .315 · higher = better
Adley Rutschman
.349
Will Smith
.385
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05
The tape
Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · batting average
AVGhigher is better
Adley Rutschman
.240.270
lg AVG .295
now .252
.249
Will Smith
.240.270
lg AVG .295
now .250
.260
Volume · counting stats
Home Runshigher is better
Adley Rutschman
58.60
now 7
3
Will Smith
58.60
now 6
5
Runshigher is better
Adley Rutschman
2025.20
now 20
20
Will Smith
2025.20
now 22
21
RBIhigher is better
Adley Rutschman
2032.20
now 29
29
Will Smith
2032.20
now 23
22
Stolen Baseshigher is better
Adley Rutschman
.0001.20
now 0
0
Will Smith
.0001.20
now 0
0
If you already own them — trade angle
BuyAdley Rutschman — buy.conf 0.67
Buy LowWill Smith — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.73

