MLB Daily DeltaWeek 25 · September 10, 2026
Engraved portrait of Adley Rutschman
359 PA · week 25
this weekHOLD
last weekHOLD

Adley Rutschman

data as of September 10, 2026·week 25
Hold · leans buy skill near league average (0.337); a hold that leans buy — skill sits a hair above league, worth watching.med 0.60 (narrative held for review)
ROSHR 1AVG .228R 5RBI 7SB 0

Rutschman is a hold — league average and stable across the board.

ROS projects HR 7 YTD → 1 ROS, AVG .252 YTD → .228 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.

VS His Norm

  • Barrel %7.3%+0.3%vs his ~7.0% career norm

Drivers

  • xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.337)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo88.7 mph
88.7 mph*
lg avg 89.0 mph −0.3 mphvs his norm —
262 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %39.7%
39.7%*
lg avg 40.0% −0.3%vs his norm —
262 / 50 BBE
Barrel %7.3%
norm7.3%*
lg avg 8.0% −0.7%vs his norm +0.3%
262 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.337
believable since May 28.337*
lg avg .315 +.022vs his norm —
359 / 160 PA
wOBA.323
.323*
lg avg .315 +.008vs his norm —
359 / 200 PA
Strikeout %16.4%
16.4%*
lg avg 22.0% −5.6%vs his norm —
359 / 60 PA
Walk %10.0%
10.0%*
lg avg 8.5% +1.5%vs his norm —
359 / 120 PA
BABIP.252
norm.252*
lg avg .295 −.043vs his norm −.025 BABIP is below his ~.277 normexpect it to rise.
262 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %6.6%
6.6%*
lg avg 11.0% −4.4%vs his norm —
359 / 50 PA
Chase %25.3%
25.3%*
lg avg 28.5% −3.2%vs his norm —
359 / 50 PA

5×5 ROS Outlook

rest of season

Where each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.

statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 7.3%→7.2%signal1 HR — Barrel% 7.3% (signal) tempered to career ~7.0% → projected 7.2%.
BABIP 0.252→0.261 regressednoise.228 AVG — BABIP 0.252 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.265 (xBA 0.259) → 0.261.
on-base + lineup5 R — his run rate over ~41 projected PA.
slugging + lineup7 RBI — his RBI rate over ~41 projected PA.
run rate / role0 SB — his steal rate (0 in 42 G) over ~41 projected PA.
rosterdroprotational counting only

Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.

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