
359 PA · week 25
this weekHOLD
last weekHOLD
Adley Rutschman
data as of September 10, 2026·week 25
Hold · leans buy skill near league average (0.337); a hold that leans buy — skill sits a hair above league, worth watching.med 0.60 (narrative held for review)
ROSHR 1AVG .228R 5RBI 7SB 0
Rutschman is a hold — league average and stable across the board.
ROS projects HR 7 YTD → 1 ROS, AVG .252 YTD → .228 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.
VS His Norm
- Barrel %7.3%—+0.3% ▲vs his ~7.0% career norm
Drivers
- xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.337)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo88.7 mph
lg avg 89.0 mph ▼−0.3 mphvs his norm —
262 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %39.7%
lg avg 40.0% ▼−0.3%vs his norm —
262 / 50 BBE
Barrel %7.3%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−0.7%vs his norm +0.3% ▲
262 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.337
lg avg .315 ▲+.022vs his norm —
359 / 160 PA
wOBA.323
lg avg .315 ▲+.008vs his norm —
359 / 200 PA
Strikeout %16.4%
lg avg 22.0% ▼−5.6%vs his norm —
359 / 60 PA
Walk %10.0%
lg avg 8.5% ▲+1.5%vs his norm —
359 / 120 PA
BABIP.252
lg avg .295 ▼−.043vs his norm −.025 ▼BABIP is below his ~.277 norm — expect it to rise.
262 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %6.6%
lg avg 11.0% ▼−4.4%vs his norm —
359 / 50 PA
Chase %25.3%
lg avg 28.5% ▼−3.2%vs his norm —
359 / 50 PA
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 7.3%→7.2%signal1 HR — Barrel% 7.3% (signal) tempered to career ~7.0% → projected 7.2%.
BABIP 0.252→0.261 regressednoise.228 AVG — BABIP 0.252 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.265 (xBA 0.259) → 0.261.
on-base + lineup5 R — his run rate over ~41 projected PA.
slugging + lineup7 RBI — his RBI rate over ~41 projected PA.
run rate / role0 SB — his steal rate (0 in 42 G) over ~41 projected PA.
rosterdroprotational counting only
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.