Rest of Season Projection
DrakeCategoryWill
14HR ←11
57R ←35
56RBI ←36
1SB ←0
.283AVG ←.269
Current Season
DrakeCategoryWill
13HR ←6
39R ←22
38RBI ←23
1SB ←0
.303AVG ←.250
What Each Player's System Trusts
Drake Baldwin
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.418, +0.103 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.333 sits above league and is not yet stable — expect some of the average to regress
Will Smith
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.272 suppressed and unstable — dragging results below the bat
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALcontact quality already past its threshold and intact — the bat is fine
Baldwin projects for 14 HR to Smith's 12 HR, and 58 R to 35 R. Both are buy verdicts; Baldwin's production advantage is clear despite Smith's bounce-back potential.