Rest of Season Projection
DrakeCategoryKeibert
14HR ←4
57R ←32
56RBI ←53
1SB →2
.283AVG ←.215
Current Season
DrakeCategoryKeibert
13HR ←5
39R ←15
38RBI ←25
1SB1
.303AVG ←.274
What Each Player's System Trusts
Drake Baldwin
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.418, +0.103 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.333 sits above league and is not yet stable — expect some of the average to regress
Keibert Ruiz
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.283 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaNOISEluck-free skill 0.262 is 0.074 below the surface — regression coming
Baldwin projects for 14 HR / .284 AVG vs Ruiz's 5 HR / .215 AVG. The verdicts reflect the spread: buy Baldwin, sell Ruiz.