week 25
this weekHOLD
last weekHOLD
Emmet Sheehan
data as of September 10, 2026·week 25
Hold · leans buy skill near league average (3.89); a hold that leans buy — skill sits a hair above league, worth watching.med 0.60 (narrative held for review)
ROSK 13ERA 3.89WHIP 1.21W 0–1SV 0
Sheehan is a hold — league-average skill, nothing unstable behind it.
ROS projects K 62 YTD → 13 ROS, ERA 4.50 YTD → 3.89 ROS, WHIP 1.16 YTD → 1.21 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.
VS His Norm
- Walk %7.2%—−0.8% ▼vs his ~8.0% career norm
- Strikeout %27.3%—−0.3% ▼vs his ~27.6% career norm
Drivers
- xeraSIGNALskill near league average (3.89)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Hard-Hit % Allowed39.5%
lg avg 40.0% ▼−0.5%vs his norm —
276 / 50 BBE
Barrel % Allowed10.5%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+2.5%vs his norm —
276 / 60 BBE
xwOBA Allowed.305
lg avg .315 ▼−.010vs his norm —
433 / 200 TBF
xERA3.89
lg avg 4.10 ▼−0.21vs his norm —
433 / 200 TBF
ERA5.08
lg avg 4.10 ▲+0.98vs his norm —ERA is above the ~4.10 league average — expect it to fall.
101 / 200 IP
Strikeout %27.3%
lg avg 22.0% ▲+5.3%vs his norm −0.3% ▼
433 / 70 TBF
Walk %7.2%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−0.8%vs his norm −0.8% ▼
433 / 170 TBF
BABIP Against.295
lg avg .295 .000vs his norm —BABIP Against is below the ~.295 league average — expect it to rise.
276 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %15.8%
lg avg 11.0% ▲+4.8%vs his norm —
433 / 60 TBF
Chase %35.2%
lg avg 28.5% ▲+6.7%vs his norm —
433 / 60 TBF
Fastball Velo94.4 mph
lg avg 94.0 mph ▲+0.4 mphvs his norm —
1780 / 50 PITCHES
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
K% 27.3%→27.4%signal13 K — K% 27.3% (signal) held to career ~27.6% → projected 27.4% over ~13 remaining IP.
xERA 3.89signal3.89 ERA — regresses up toward xERA 3.89 (signal): elite skill, but overperforming even…
BB% 7.2% + contactsignal1.21 WHIP — a 7% walk rate plus BABIP-against 0.295 gives a 1.21 skill WHIP.
run support + role0-1 W — wins ride run support and how deep he goes, not just skill.
role (starter)0 SV — role: starter, not in the save mix.
rosterdeep13 K ROS, 3.89 ERA
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.