Is Emmet Sheehan a buy or sell for fantasy baseball?

Buy — stable, above-average metrics signal genuine skill. Good ROS add target.

What is Emmet Sheehan's rest-of-season outlook?

28% strikeouts, 3.57 xERA — the 4.57 ERA is noise.

week 31

this weekBUY

last weekHOLD

Emmet Sheehan

LAD·P

data as of October 26, 2026·week 31

flipped from HOLD on October 26, 2026

Buy stable xERA 3.57, 0.53 below league, production is earned; velocity stable and above league; add now.high 0.76

ROSK 0ERA 3.57WHIP 1.18W 0–0SV 0

Sheehan is a buy — earned run prevention, no luck in sight.

His expected ERA is 3.57, more than half a run below the league average of 4.10, and he has faced 472 batters — well past the point where that number becomes reliable. The mechanics behind it are stable, not accidental: 28% strikeouts against a 22% league rate, a 7% walk rate below league, and 16% swinging strikes when the league average is 11%. His expected wOBA allowed is .292, 23 points better than league, and he is allowing hard contact on 38.5% of batted balls, slightly less than league. His fastball is at 94.4 mph and has been ticking up, so the stuff is moving in the right direction while the expected ERA steps down. That is a pitcher whose skill is doing the work, not a favorable ball-in-play run. Buy. A 3.57 ERA and 1.18 WHIP make this a deep-league asset to stash now before the strikeouts arrive.

VS His Norm

Walk %7.0%—−1.0% ▼vs his ~8.0% career norm
Strikeout %28.0%—+0.4% ▲vs his ~27.6% career norm

Drivers

xeraSIGNALstable xERA 3.57, 0.53 below league — production is earned
p_fastball_veloSIGNALvelocity stable and above league

metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?

Hard-Hit % Allowed38.5%

lg avg 40.0% ▼−1.5%vs his norm —

299 / 50 BBE

Barrel % Allowed9.7%

lg avg 8.0% ▲+1.7%vs his norm —

299 / 60 BBE

xwOBA Allowed.292

lg avg .315 ▼−.023vs his norm —

472 / 200 TBF

xERA3.57

lg avg 4.10 ▼−0.53vs his norm —

472 / 200 TBF

ERA4.57

lg avg 4.10 ▲+0.47vs his norm —ERA is above the ~4.10 league average — expect it to fall.

112.3 / 200 IP

Strikeout %28.0%

lg avg 22.0% ▲+6.0%vs his norm +0.4% ▲

472 / 70 TBF

Walk %7.0%

lg avg 8.0% ▼−1.0%vs his norm −1.0% ▼

472 / 170 TBF

BABIP Against.282

lg avg .295 ▼−.013vs his norm —BABIP Against is below the ~.295 league average — expect it to rise.

299 / 800 BIP

Swinging-Strike %16.0%

lg avg 11.0% ▲+5.0%vs his norm —

472 / 60 TBF

Chase %35.5%

lg avg 28.5% ▲+7.0%vs his norm —

472 / 60 TBF

Fastball Velo94.4 mph

lg avg 94.0 mph ▲+0.4 mphvs his norm —

1954 / 50 PITCHES

5×5 ROS Outlook

rest of season

Where each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.

statytdrosdriverconf

K% 28.0%→27.9%signal0 K — K% 28.0% (signal) tempered to career ~27.6% → projected 27.9% over ~0 remaining IP.

xERA 3.57signal3.57 ERA — regresses up toward xERA 3.57 (signal): elite skill, but overperforming even…

BB% 7.0% + contactsignal1.18 WHIP — a 7% walk rate plus BABIP-against 0.290 gives a 1.18 skill WHIP.

run support + role0-0 W — wins ride run support and how deep he goes, not just skill.

role (starter)0 SV — role: starter, not in the save mix.

rosterdeep0 K ROS, 3.57 ERA

Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.

VS His Norm

Drivers

5×5 ROS Outlook

Comparisons