Rest of Season Projection
JustinCategoryTaylor
3HR →6
24R →30
21RBI →26
12SB ←4
.229AVG ←.224
Current Season
JustinCategoryTaylor
2HR ←0
14R ←7
12RBI ←6
7SB ←1
.234AVG →.314
What Each Player's System Trusts
Justin Crawford
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.270 below league with no luck excuse
Taylor Trammell
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.486 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaNOISEluck-free skill 0.264 is 0.073 below the surface — regression coming
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 35% is stable and high — caps the floor
Justin Crawford: 3 HR / 24 R. Taylor Trammell: 6 HR / 30 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).