MLB Daily DeltaWeek 25 · September 10, 2026
Engraved portrait of Taylor Trammell
250 PA · week 25
this weekSELL
last weekNO CALL

Taylor Trammell

data as of September 10, 2026·week 25
new call as of September 10, 2026
Sell stable xwOBA 0.284 below league with no luck excuse; strikeout rate 31% is stable and high, caps the floor; move on.med 0.61
ROSHR 1AVG .194R 4RBI 4SB 1

Trammell is a sell — the bat is below league and trending the wrong way.

His expected wOBA is .284, which is .031 below the league average of .315, and he has 250 plate appearances — past the point where that number is reliable. His actual wOBA is .288, essentially the same, so there is no bad-luck story waiting to break in his favor. His contact quality does not argue for a rebound: an 87.8 mph average exit velocity and a 36.3% hard-hit rate both sit below league. The strikeout rate is the real anchor, and it is getting worse — 31.2% and climbing, with an 18.5% swinging-strike rate more than seven points above league. He is what the numbers say he is, and the trend line points down. Sell. 1 HR / 4 R / 4 RBI / 1 SB / .194 AVG is waiver fodder — drop, not a hold.

VS His Norm

  • Barrel %11.6%+3.8%vs his ~7.8% career norm

Drivers

  • xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.284 below league with no luck excuse
  • k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 31% is stable and high — caps the floor
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo87.8 mph
believable since Jun 2687.8 mph*
lg avg 89.0 mph −1.2 mphvs his norm —
146 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %36.3%
36.3%*
lg avg 40.0% −3.7%vs his norm —
146 / 50 BBE
Barrel %11.6%
norm11.6%*
lg avg 8.0% +3.6%vs his norm +3.8%
146 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.284
.284*
lg avg .315 −.031vs his norm —
250 / 160 PA
wOBA.288
.288*
lg avg .315 −.027vs his norm —
250 / 200 PA
Strikeout %31.2%
31.2%*
lg avg 22.0% +9.2%vs his norm —
250 / 60 PA
Walk %8.8%
8.8%*
lg avg 8.5% +0.3%vs his norm —
250 / 120 PA
BABIP.283
norm.283*
lg avg .295 −.012vs his norm +.040 BABIP is above his ~.243 normexpect it to fall.
146 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %18.5%
18.5%*
lg avg 11.0% +7.5%vs his norm —
250 / 50 PA
Chase %29.1%
29.1%*
lg avg 28.5% +0.6%vs his norm —
250 / 50 PA

5×5 ROS Outlook

rest of season

Where each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.

statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 11.6%→9.4%signal1 HR — Barrel% 11.6% (signal) tempered to career ~7.8% → projected 9.4%.
BABIP 0.283→0.287 regressednoise.194 AVG — BABIP 0.283 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.288 (xBA 0.192) → 0.287.
on-base + lineup4 R — his run rate over ~35 projected PA.
slugging + lineup4 RBI — his RBI rate over ~35 projected PA.
run rate / role1 SB — his steal rate (1 in 16 G) over ~35 projected PA.
rosterdroprotational counting only

Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.

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