Rest of Season Projection
JustinCategoryLawrence
4HR →9
25R →32
22RBI →27
13SB ←8
.230AVG ←.224
Current Season
JustinCategoryLawrence
2HR →3
14R →17
12RBI →14
7SB ←4
.234AVG ←.164
What Each Player's System Trusts
Justin Crawford
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.270 below league with no luck excuse
Lawrence Butler
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.210 suppressed and unstable — dragging results below the bat
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALcontact quality already past its threshold and intact — the bat is fine
Justin Crawford: 4 HR / 25 R. Lawrence Butler: 9 HR / 32 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).