Rest of Season Projection
ColtonCategoryLawrence
11HR ←9
38R ←32
40RBI ←27
2SB →8
.202AVG →.224
Current Season
ColtonCategoryLawrence
4HR ←3
17R17
18RBI ←14
1SB →4
.227AVG ←.164
What Each Player's System Trusts
Colton Cowser
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.300)
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 30% is stable and high — caps the floor
Lawrence Butler
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.210 suppressed and unstable — dragging results below the bat
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALcontact quality already past its threshold and intact — the bat is fine
Colton Cowser: 11 HR / 38 R. Lawrence Butler: 9 HR / 32 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).