Rest of Season Projection
LawrenceCategorySal
9HR ←3
32R →39
27RBI →32
8SB ←7
.224AVG →.228
Current Season
LawrenceCategorySal
3HR3
17R →23
14RBI →19
4SB4
.164AVG →.219
What Each Player's System Trusts
Lawrence Butler
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.210 suppressed and unstable — dragging results below the bat
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALcontact quality already past its threshold and intact — the bat is fine
Sal Frelick
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.278 below league with no luck excuse
Lawrence Butler: 9 HR / 32 R. Sal Frelick: 3 HR / 39 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).