Rest of Season Projection
AustinCategoryLawrence
3HR →8
34R ←29
26RBI ←24
12SB ←7
.237AVG ←.230
Current Season
AustinCategoryLawrence
2HR →3
22R ←17
17RBI ←14
8SB ←4
.262AVG ←.164
What Each Player's System Trusts
Austin Martin
- xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.313)
Lawrence Butler
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.205 suppressed and unstable — dragging results below the bat
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALcontact quality already past its threshold and intact — the bat is fine
Austin Martin: 3 HR / 34 R. Lawrence Butler: 8 HR / 29 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).