MLB Daily DeltaWeek 16 · July 11, 2026
Portrait of Justin Crawford
Justin Crawford
PHI · CF
Change to
Portrait of Ryan Kreidler
Ryan Kreidler
MIN · CF
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Ryan Kreidler.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — home runs, runs, and RBI. Justin Crawford’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
HR
R
RBI
SB
AVG

Ryan Kreidler wins 3 categories (HR, R, RBI); Justin Crawford wins 2 (SB, AVG).

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Avg Exit Velolg 89.0 · higher = better
Justin Crawford
86.8
Ryan Kreidler
87.1
Hard-Hit %lg 40.0% · higher = better
Justin Crawford
33.5%
Ryan Kreidler
34.0%
Barrel %lg 8.0% · higher = better
Justin Crawford
1.0%
Ryan Kreidler
8.2%
Chase %lg 28.5% · lower = better
Justin Crawford
38.8%
Ryan Kreidler
25.2%
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · lower = better
Justin Crawford
10.4%
Ryan Kreidler
15.4%
xwOBAlg .315 · higher = better
Justin Crawford
.280
Ryan Kreidler
.301
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · batting average
AVGhigher is better
Justin Crawford
.200.280
lg AVG .295
now .234
.253
Ryan Kreidler
.200.280
lg AVG .295
now .255
.188

Volume · counting stats
Home Runshigher is better
Justin Crawford
54.20
now 2
1
Ryan Kreidler
54.20
now 3
3
Runshigher is better
Justin Crawford
2035.20
now 14
15
Ryan Kreidler
2035.20
now 10
28
RBIhigher is better
Justin Crawford
2031.40
now 12
13
Ryan Kreidler
2031.40
now 9
25
Stolen Baseshigher is better
Justin Crawford
.0009.80
now 7
7
Ryan Kreidler
.0009.80
now 0
0
If you already own them — trade angle
SellJustin Crawford — sell.conf 0.62
Sell HighRyan Kreidler — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.62
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