MLB Daily DeltaWeek 20 · August 9, 2026
Portrait of Andrew Painter
Andrew Painter
PHI · P
Change to
Matt Waldron
TOR · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Matt Waldron.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — ERA and WHIP. Andrew Painter’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Matt Waldron wins 2 categories (ERA, WHIP); Andrew Painter wins 0 (none); 2 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Andrew Painter
96.5
Matt Waldron
92.0
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Andrew Painter
11.2%
Matt Waldron
8.5%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Andrew Painter
18.6%
Matt Waldron
19.3%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Andrew Painter
31.9%
Matt Waldron
30.0%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Andrew Painter
35.2%
Matt Waldron
39.6%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Andrew Painter
9.0%
Matt Waldron
6.3%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Andrew Painter
.346
Matt Waldron
.302
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Andrew Painter
2.338.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.74
4.77
Matt Waldron
2.338.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 8.49
4.09
WHIPlower is better
Andrew Painter
1.141.87
now 1.52
1.41
Matt Waldron
1.141.87
now 1.71
1.30

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Andrew Painter
4051.40
now 43
29
Matt Waldron
4051.40
now 22
29
Winshigher is better
Andrew Painter
.0002.80
now 1
01
Matt Waldron
.0002.80
now 1
12

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · leans sellAndrew Painter — hold.conf 0.60
Buy LowMatt Waldron — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.90
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