week 10
this weekBUY-LOW
last weekBUY-LOW
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Trevor Rogers
data as of June 3, 2026·week 10
Rogers is a buy-low — BABIP noise is hiding solid underlying skill.
ERA ugly but the underlying skill is fine and the BABIP-against is unsustainable. Buy low.
Buy Low
high0.90
Drivers
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.323 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Hard-Hit % Allowed38.0%
lg avg 40.0% ▼−2.0%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL163 / 50 BBE
Barrel % Allowed8.0%
lg avg 8.0% 0.0%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL163 / 60 BBE
xwOBA Allowed.337
lg avg .315 ▲+.022trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL220 / 200 TBF
xERA4.62
lg avg 4.10 ▲+0.52trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL220 / 200 TBF
ERA6.84
lg avg 4.10 ▲+2.74too early to trust
NOISE48.7 / 200 IP
Strikeout %17.3%
lg avg 22.0% ▼−4.7%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL220 / 70 TBF
Walk %8.2%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+0.2%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL220 / 170 TBF
BABIP Against.323
lg avg .295 ▲+.028too early to trust
NOISE163 / 800 BIP