Rest of Season Projection
MichaelCategoryTrevor
71K →88
5.12ERA →4.44
1.31WHIP ←1.40
3–7W ←3–6
0SV0
Current Season
MichaelCategoryTrevor
44K ←38
2.98ERA ←6.84
1.10WHIP ←1.56
3W ←2
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Michael McGreevy
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.249 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 5.67 is 2.69 above the ERA — regression coming
Trevor Rogers
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.323 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
Michael McGreevy: 71 K / 5.12 ERA. Trevor Rogers: 88 K / 4.44 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).