MLB Daily DeltaWeek 18 · July 27, 2026
Portrait of Shane Baz
Shane Baz
BAL · P
Change to
Portrait of Trevor Rogers
Trevor Rogers
BAL · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Trevor Rogers.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — ERA and WHIP. Shane Baz’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Trevor Rogers wins 2 categories (ERA, WHIP); Shane Baz wins 1 (K); 1 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Shane Baz
96.1
Trevor Rogers
93.5
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Shane Baz
10.5%
Trevor Rogers
12.3%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Shane Baz
20.7%
Trevor Rogers
19.1%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Shane Baz
30.1%
Trevor Rogers
34.5%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Shane Baz
42.0%
Trevor Rogers
39.2%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Shane Baz
7.0%
Trevor Rogers
6.6%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Shane Baz
.318
Trevor Rogers
.313
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Shane Baz
3.027.93
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.48
4.20
Trevor Rogers
3.027.93
lg xERA 4.10
now 6.84
4.11
WHIPlower is better
Shane Baz
1.251.65
now 1.43
1.38
Trevor Rogers
1.251.65
now 1.56
1.34

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Shane Baz
4064.60
now 57
46
Trevor Rogers
4064.60
now 38
38
Winshigher is better
Shane Baz
.2003.80
now 2
12
Trevor Rogers
.2003.80
now 2
13

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · leans sellShane Baz — hold.conf 0.60
Hold · steadyTrevor Rogers — hold.conf 0.60
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