Rest of Season Projection
ShaneCategoryTrevor
96K ←82
4.38ERA →4.28
1.39WHIP ←1.40
2–4W →2–5
0SV0
Current Season
ShaneCategoryTrevor
57K ←38
4.48ERA ←6.84
1.43WHIP ←1.56
2W2
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Shane Baz
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 4.53 +0.43 vs league with no luck excuse
Trevor Rogers
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.318 elevated and unstable — the 6.29 ERA overstates the damage
- xeraSIGNALbut luck-free xERA 4.38 is +0.28 vs league — the level it regresses to is below average, not a buy
Shane Baz: 96 K / 4.38 ERA. Trevor Rogers: 82 K / 4.28 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).