MLB Daily DeltaWeek 18 · July 27, 2026
Portrait of Trevor Rogers
Trevor Rogers
BAL · P
Change to
Portrait of Zebby Matthews
Zebby Matthews
MIN · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 11, 2 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Trevor Rogers wins 1 (ERA); Zebby Matthews wins 1 (K); 2 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Trevor Rogers
93.5
Zebby Matthews
95.2
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Trevor Rogers
12.3%
Zebby Matthews
10.3%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Trevor Rogers
19.1%
Zebby Matthews
18.5%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Trevor Rogers
34.5%
Zebby Matthews
27.6%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Trevor Rogers
39.2%
Zebby Matthews
37.6%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Trevor Rogers
6.6%
Zebby Matthews
12.0%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Trevor Rogers
.313
Zebby Matthews
.334
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Trevor Rogers
3.027.93
lg xERA 4.10
now 6.84
4.11
Zebby Matthews
3.027.93
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.63
4.53
WHIPlower is better
Trevor Rogers
.9001.77
now 1.56
1.34
Zebby Matthews
.9001.77
now 1.03
1.34

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Trevor Rogers
4060.40
now 38
38
Zebby Matthews
4060.40
now 24
50
Winshigher is better
Trevor Rogers
.2003.80
now 2
13
Zebby Matthews
.2003.80
now 1
13

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · steadyTrevor Rogers — hold.conf 0.60
SellZebby Matthews — sell.conf 0.75
Tweet