MLB Daily DeltaWeek 16 · July 14, 2026
Portrait of Luis Severino
Luis Severino
ATH · P
Change to
Portrait of Shane Baz
Shane Baz
BAL · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Luis Severino.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts and ERA.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Luis Severino wins 2 categories (K, ERA); Shane Baz wins 1 (WHIP); 1 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Luis Severino
96.9
Shane Baz
96.1
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Luis Severino
10.9%
Shane Baz
10.5%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Luis Severino
24.0%
Shane Baz
20.5%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Luis Severino
31.3%
Shane Baz
29.9%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Luis Severino
38.7%
Shane Baz
41.4%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Luis Severino
8.7%
Shane Baz
7.4%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Luis Severino
.318
Shane Baz
.322
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Luis Severino
3.944.70
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.16
4.18
Shane Baz
3.944.70
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.48
4.25
WHIPlower is better
Luis Severino
1.311.54
now 1.47
1.41
Shane Baz
1.311.54
now 1.43
1.38

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Luis Severino
51.4070.60
now 65
63
Shane Baz
51.4070.60
now 57
58
Winshigher is better
Luis Severino
.2003.80
now 2
13
Shane Baz
.2003.80
now 2
13

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · steadyLuis Severino — hold.conf 0.60
Hold · leans sellShane Baz — hold.conf 0.60
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