MLB Daily DeltaWeek 18 · July 29, 2026
Kodai Senga
NYM · P
Change to
Portrait of Luis Severino
Luis Severino
ATH · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 22. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Kodai Senga wins 2 (ERA, WHIP); Luis Severino wins 2 (K, W); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Kodai Senga
96.2
Luis Severino
96.9
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Kodai Senga
13.1%
Luis Severino
10.9%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Kodai Senga
25.3%
Luis Severino
24.0%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Kodai Senga
26.7%
Luis Severino
31.3%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Kodai Senga
38.9%
Luis Severino
38.7%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Kodai Senga
13.3%
Luis Severino
8.7%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Kodai Senga
.354
Luis Severino
.318
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Kodai Senga
2.148.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 9.00
4.10
Luis Severino
2.148.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.16
4.21
WHIPlower is better
Kodai Senga
1.042.21
now 1.95
1.30
Luis Severino
1.042.21
now 1.47
1.41

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Kodai Senga
4081.80
now 23
44
Luis Severino
4081.80
now 65
49
Winshigher is better
Kodai Senga
.0002.80
now 0
00
Luis Severino
.0002.80
now 2
12

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeKodai Senga — hold.conf 0.55
Hold · leans sellLuis Severino — hold.conf 0.60
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