MLB Daily DeltaWeek 17 · July 19, 2026
Jared Jones
PIT · P
Change to
Portrait of Luis Severino
Luis Severino
ATH · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 22. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Jared Jones wins 2 (ERA, WHIP); Luis Severino wins 2 (K, W); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Jared Jones
98.6
Luis Severino
96.9
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Jared Jones
15.9%
Luis Severino
10.9%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Jared Jones
27.1%
Luis Severino
24.0%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Jared Jones
29.7%
Luis Severino
31.3%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Jared Jones
38.3%
Luis Severino
38.7%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Jared Jones
7.4%
Luis Severino
8.7%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Jared Jones
.295
Luis Severino
.318
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Jared Jones
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 10.38
4.10
Luis Severino
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.16
4.18
WHIPlower is better
Jared Jones
.9902.39
now 2.08
1.30
Luis Severino
.9902.39
now 1.47
1.41

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Jared Jones
4088.60
now 6
54
Luis Severino
4088.60
now 65
58
Winshigher is better
Jared Jones
.0002.80
now 0
00
Luis Severino
.0002.80
now 2
12

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeJared Jones — hold.conf 0.50
Hold · steadyLuis Severino — hold.conf 0.60
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