Rest of Season Projection
BrandonCategoryLuis
60K →98
4.28ERA →4.11
1.34WHIP ←1.41
4–8W ←2–4
0SV0
Current Season
BrandonCategoryLuis
19K →65
6.11ERA →4.16
1.64WHIP →1.47
2W2
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Brandon Williamson
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.268 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 6.55 is 0.44 above the ERA — regression coming
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 15% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Luis Severino
- xeraSIGNALskill near league average (4.11)
Williamson's 60 K vs Severino's 98 K lags; ERA sits 4.28 vs 4.11. Sell high on Williamson; hold Severino.