Rest of Season Projection
BrandonCategorySlade
60K →76
4.28ERA ←4.33
1.34WHIP ←1.37
4–8W3–6
0SV0
Current Season
BrandonCategorySlade
19K →50
6.11ERA →5.25
1.64WHIP →1.49
2W →3
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Brandon Williamson
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.268 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 6.55 is 0.44 above the ERA — regression coming
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 15% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Slade Cecconi
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.329 elevated and unstable — the 4.83 ERA overstates the damage
- xeraSIGNALbut luck-free xERA 4.46 is +0.36 vs league — the level it regresses to is below average, not a buy
Williamson's 4.28 ERA nearly matches Cecconi's 4.33; Cecconi leads in K (76 vs 60). The sell-high call on Williamson vs hold on Cecconi reflects surface quality.