Is Slade Cecconi a buy or sell for fantasy baseball?

Sell — metrics are consistently below average with signal behind the decline.

What is Slade Cecconi's rest-of-season outlook?

18.8% strikeout rate won't miss bats or limit damage.

week 31

this weekSELL

last weekHOLD

Slade Cecconi

CLE·P

data as of October 26, 2026·week 31

flipped from HOLD on October 26, 2026

Sell stable xERA 4.76 +0.66 vs league with no luck excuse; move on.high 0.75

ROSK 0ERA 4.53WHIP 1.37W 0–0SV 0

Cecconi is a sell — league-average stuff in below-league results.

His expected ERA is 4.76, a full .66 above the league average of 4.1, and on 528 batters faced that number is past the point where it becomes reliable. There is no luck to point at: his expected wOBA allowed of .333 sits .018 above league, his walk rate is 7.4% against a league 8.0%, and his batted-ball profile is ordinary — 41.3% hard-hit allowed and 8.8% barrels, both barely north of league. What he cannot do is miss bats. He strikes out 18.8% of hitters against a league rate of 22.0%, and his swinging-strike rate of 9.7% trails the 11.0% league mark; his fastball at 93.6 mph is right at league too. The xERA has been climbing across the sample, which means the problem is getting worse, not settling. This is the level he's at. Sell. 0 K and a 4.53 ERA rest-of-season make him streaming-only at best — drop, not a hold.

VS His Norm

Walk %7.4%—+1.6% ▲vs his ~5.8% career norm
Strikeout %18.8%—−0.4% ▼vs his ~19.2% career norm

Drivers

xeraSIGNALstable xERA 4.76 +0.66 vs league with no luck excuse

metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?

Hard-Hit % Allowed41.3%

lg avg 40.0% ▲+1.3%vs his norm —

387 / 50 BBE

Barrel % Allowed8.8%

lg avg 8.0% ▲+0.8%vs his norm —

387 / 60 BBE

xwOBA Allowed.333

lg avg .315 ▲+.018vs his norm —

528 / 200 TBF

xERA4.76

lg avg 4.10 ▲+0.66vs his norm —

528 / 200 TBF

ERA4.91

lg avg 4.10 ▲+0.81vs his norm —ERA is above the ~4.10 league average — expect it to fall.

121 / 200 IP

Strikeout %18.8%

lg avg 22.0% ▼−3.2%vs his norm −0.4% ▼

528 / 70 TBF

Walk %7.4%

lg avg 8.0% ▼−0.6%vs his norm +1.6% ▲

528 / 170 TBF

BABIP Against.313

lg avg .295 ▲+.018vs his norm —BABIP Against is above the ~.295 league average — expect it to fall.

387 / 800 BIP

Swinging-Strike %9.7%

lg avg 11.0% ▼−1.3%vs his norm —

528 / 60 TBF

Chase %27.8%

lg avg 28.5% ▼−0.7%vs his norm —

528 / 60 TBF

Fastball Velo93.6 mph

lg avg 94.0 mph ▼−0.4 mphvs his norm —

2003 / 50 PITCHES

5×5 ROS Outlook

rest of season

Where each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.

statytdrosdriverconf

K% 18.8%→18.9%signal0 K — K% 18.8% (signal) held to career ~19.2% → projected 18.9% over ~0 remaining IP.

xERA 4.76signal4.53 ERA — xERA 4.76 (signal) blended 65% skill / 35% league 4.10 at 62 IP.

BB% 7.4% + contactsignal1.37 WHIP — a 7% walk rate plus BABIP-against 0.304 gives a 1.41 skill WHIP, blended 65…

run support + role0-0 W — wins ride run support and how deep he goes, not just skill.

role (starter)0 SV — role: starter, not in the save mix.

rosterdrop0 K ROS, 4.53 ERA

Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.

VS His Norm

Drivers

5×5 ROS Outlook

Comparisons