Is Slade Cecconi a buy or sell for fantasy baseball?

Sell — metrics are consistently below average with signal behind the decline.

What is Slade Cecconi's rest-of-season outlook?

18.2% strikeout rate; 4.85 xERA can't survive that

week 25

this weekSELL

last weekHOLD

Slade Cecconi

CLE·P

data as of September 10, 2026·week 25

flipped from HOLD on September 10, 2026

Sell stable xERA 4.85 +0.75 vs league with no luck excuse; move on.high 0.78

ROSK 10ERA 4.59WHIP 1.39W 0–1SV 0

Cecconi is a sell — his skill sits below league with no luck excuse.

His expected ERA is 4.85, three-quarters of a run above the league average of 4.1, and he has faced enough batters for that number to be reliable. Nothing in the profile flatters him: he strikes out 18.2% of batters, well below the 22% league mark, and his swinging-strike rate of 9.7% sits under league average too. He does not walk many — 7.3% against 8.0% — but that is the only part of his game holding up. His expected wOBA allowed is .337, 22 points above league, and the xERA trend has been stepping up across the sample rather than settling down. There is no suppressed BABIP-against to point to, no bad-luck story waiting to reverse. The contact he allows is the contact he allows. Sell. 10 K and a 4.59 ERA ROS makes him a drag — drop him and stream the roster spot.

VS His Norm

Walk %7.3%—+1.5% ▲vs his ~5.8% career norm
Strikeout %18.2%—−1.0% ▼vs his ~19.2% career norm

Drivers

xeraSIGNALstable xERA 4.85 +0.75 vs league with no luck excuse

metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?

Hard-Hit % Allowed41.1%

lg avg 40.0% ▲+1.1%vs his norm —

377 / 50 BBE

Barrel % Allowed9.0%

lg avg 8.0% ▲+1.0%vs his norm —

377 / 60 BBE

xwOBA Allowed.337

lg avg .315 ▲+.022vs his norm —

510 / 200 TBF

xERA4.85

lg avg 4.10 ▲+0.75vs his norm —

510 / 200 TBF

ERA5.06

lg avg 4.10 ▲+0.96vs his norm —ERA is above the ~4.10 league average — expect it to fall.

115.7 / 200 IP

Strikeout %18.2%

lg avg 22.0% ▼−3.8%vs his norm −1.0% ▼

510 / 70 TBF

Walk %7.3%

lg avg 8.0% ▼−0.7%vs his norm +1.5% ▲

510 / 170 TBF

BABIP Against.322

lg avg .295 ▲+.027vs his norm —BABIP Against is above the ~.295 league average — expect it to fall.

377 / 800 BIP

Swinging-Strike %9.7%

lg avg 11.0% ▼−1.3%vs his norm —

510 / 60 TBF

Chase %27.9%

lg avg 28.5% ▼−0.6%vs his norm —

510 / 60 TBF

Fastball Velo93.5 mph

lg avg 94.0 mph ▼−0.5 mphvs his norm —

1939 / 50 PITCHES

5×5 ROS Outlook

rest of season

Where each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.

statytdrosdriverconf

K% 18.2%→18.5%signal10 K — K% 18.2% (signal) held to career ~19.2% → projected 18.5% over ~13 remaining IP.

xERA 4.85signal4.59 ERA — xERA 4.85 (signal) blended 65% skill / 35% league 4.10 at 62 IP.

BB% 7.3% + contactsignal1.39 WHIP — a 7% walk rate plus BABIP-against 0.308 gives a 1.44 skill WHIP, blended 65…

run support + role0-1 W — wins ride run support and how deep he goes, not just skill.

role (starter)0 SV — role: starter, not in the save mix.

rosterdrop10 K ROS, 4.59 ERA

Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.

VS His Norm

Drivers

5×5 ROS Outlook

Comparisons