Rest of Season Projection
LuisCategorySlade
98K ←76
4.11ERA ←4.33
1.41WHIP →1.37
2–4W →3–6
0SV0
Current Season
LuisCategorySlade
65K ←50
4.16ERA ←5.25
1.47WHIP ←1.49
2W →3
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Luis Severino
- xeraSIGNALskill near league average (4.11)
Slade Cecconi
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.329 elevated and unstable — the 4.83 ERA overstates the damage
- xeraSIGNALbut luck-free xERA 4.46 is +0.36 vs league — the level it regresses to is below average, not a buy
Luis Severino: 99 K / 4.10 ERA. Slade Cecconi: 77 K / 4.33 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).