MLB Daily DeltaWeek 14 · June 30, 2026
Portrait of Luis Severino
Luis Severino
ATH · P
Change to
Portrait of Ryne Nelson
Ryne Nelson
AZ · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Luis Severino.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts and ERA.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Luis Severino wins 2 categories (K, ERA); Ryne Nelson wins 1 (WHIP); 1 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Luis Severino
96.9
Ryne Nelson
96.3
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Luis Severino
10.9%
Ryne Nelson
11.4%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Luis Severino
24.0%
Ryne Nelson
17.5%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Luis Severino
31.3%
Ryne Nelson
34.1%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Luis Severino
38.7%
Ryne Nelson
43.4%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Luis Severino
8.7%
Ryne Nelson
10.2%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Luis Severino
.318
Ryne Nelson
.349
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Luis Severino
3.885.09
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.16
4.15
Ryne Nelson
3.885.09
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.82
4.78
WHIPlower is better
Luis Severino
1.081.58
now 1.47
1.41
Ryne Nelson
1.081.58
now 1.19
1.28

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Luis Severino
4287
now 65
77
Ryne Nelson
4287
now 52
63
Winshigher is better
Luis Severino
1.523.48
now 2
23
Ryne Nelson
1.523.48
now 2
23

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · steadyLuis Severino — hold.conf 0.60
SellRyne Nelson — sell.conf 0.86
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